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NA1/WP2 - The future ENES strategy

Short description

This workpackage will establish the strategy of the ENES consortium with regards to the future organisation of the climate and Earth system modelling community in Europe, concerning:

·         Development, dissemination, and application of climate and Earth system models

·         Use of the European high-performance computing (HPC) ecosystem

·         Development of education on ESM

·         Interface with decision makers.

Strategy in climate and Earth system modelling

Climate modelling has strongly evolved over the last 10 years with the development of “Earth system models”. The increased realism of the models brought with it the increasing possibility, but also the increasing need, to study the societal impacts of climate change. Moreover, new countries all over Europe are now becoming involved in climate and Earth system modelling. It is the right time to revisit the European modelling strategy, by answering the following questions :

·         What does Europe need in terms of climate and Earth system modelling and prediction?

·         How is Europe going to face the increasing demand for information on societal impacts?

·         What will be the status of European climate and Earth system models 10 year from now?

·         What kind of infrastructures are required ?

European HPC ecosystem

An effective European computing infrastructure for climate and Earth system modelling requires a full HPC-ecosystem: from Tier-0 world-class facilities allowing high-end simulations at the top to properly nested and scaled Tier-1 national facilities to develop and optimise models and to run many lighter experiments.

ENES expects the European project PRACE “Partnership for Advanced Computing in Europe” to provide the top of the pyramid of the HPC-ecosystem. ENES has participated in the elaboration of the scientific case for PRACE in 2006. IS-ENES will organise the interface with PRACE and help the community prepare fro PRACE. IS-ENES will also interact closely with the European DEISA2 project, which will organise a significant portion of the Tier-1 facilities, including their relationship with PRACE.

The ENES strategy for the HPC-ecosystem must also account for the preparation for the future generation of computing architectures and facilities. To benefit from the increasing number of processors will very likely require a profound revisit of the basis of most of the actual numerical models. Such research and development is on-going in the USA and Japan but has not yet been organised in Europe for climate and Earth system models. IS-ENES will develop a network of experts on this issue.

ESM education

Training on Earth system models is important to better understand and master the complexity of the system and improve the use of such models. It will help scientists face the large range of expertise needed in ESM, including both multi-disciplinary aspects of Earth system sciences and the large range of numeric and algorithmic tools. Moreover, gathering the young generation of scientists will help them develop collaboration and will improve the level of integration within and across the various European modelling groups.

Dissemination towards policy makers

 

In international context, EU is currently mounting on an ambitious and in many aspects, “cutting edge” climate policies, with respect to both mitigation (30 % emission cut by 2020) and adaptation (EU Climate Adaptation Strategy Green Paper, which is expected to turn into a binding EU directive in 2009/2010). Although, in several EU countries, the community is already strongly involved in the elaboration of national policies with regard to climate change, limited interactions have been organised at the European level between the Climate and Earth System modelling community and the European executive levels, involved in a process of developing and implementing climate relevant European policies. A process of  setting up these policies and verifying of implementation strategies need to be well imbedded in the latest scientific results, and as such it requires a tailor-made, effective dialogue between with the top-edge European climate research community, and the relevant climate policy making European Directorates and related institutions.

See the full description in the DoW

 

Progress

 

Task 1: Define the European strategy in climate and Earth system modelling

 

In order to launch the foresight, a Scoping workshop at Montvillargenne, March 2010 gathering the ENES community has been organised in order to brainstorm on the community expectations and the main content of the foresight. Discussions were very fruitful and defined the contour of the foresight document. It has been decided to focus on infrastructure aspects: models, data, software and high-performance computing, required to face the scientific challenges of climate changes. It involves the European community beyond the IS-ENES partners. A writing team has been set up and a first version prepared.


An other meeting was held in February 2011 to pursue the foresight. This second Foresight meeting was held in Hamburg. Discussions have been as fruitful as the previous one. The writing team need to work on the final version of the Scoping document, which should be finalized and published in the following months.

montvillargenne

Scoping meeting in Montvillargenne, March 2010


Task 2: Prepare the ENES strategy with regards to the HPC-ecosystem


A High-Performance Computing (HPC) Task Force has been established to improve our internal organisation. Brainstorming on climate modelling needs concerning HPC has contributed to the strategy document. It has been complemented by an important contribution of ENES to the G8 call on HPC. Moreover, ENES contributes to the roadmap for exascale under preparation within the EESI FP7 project. IS-ENES has also developed the interactions with the European facilities PRACE and DEISA-2, in order to facilitate their use and prepare for the future challenges posed by highly massively parallel architectures.

See also : IS-ENES/PrACE meeting held in Paris in December 2010

 

Task 3: ESM Education - Developing a strategy


Training has been postponed due to the involvement in the foresight.

 

Deliverables & Milestones

(to be found under "Project" - "Deliverables")

Deliverables

D2.1 IS-ENES website

D2.2 Policy position paper on “Climate data needs in support of the EU Climate Adaptation Strategy”

This policy brief is based on a workshop organized by IS-ENES in collaboration with the European Environment Agency (EEA) and the CIRCLE-2 ERA network of the national climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation research programmes in Europe. The results of the workshop contributed to the development of the IS-ENES strategy. The workshop‘s main objective was to clarify the climate data needs of the user community in the area of climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation (IVA) in support of future climate modeling analysis in Europe. The workshop addressed data needs in various sectors, notably water management, ecosystems and agriculture, coastal management, and urban development. This paper summarizes the main recommendations of the workshop. The results will be used for the development of the pan-European e-impact portal prototype developed by IS-ENES to deliver climate scenarios for impacts, vulnerability and adaptation, as well as support the development of a European network of climate services as well as Climate-ADAPT, the European information system on Climate Change Impacts, Vulnerability and Adaptation, one of the elements of the new European Climate Change Adaptation Strategy that will be released in March 2013.

D2.3 ENES First Prototype Summer School on Earth System Modelling

In 2012, the European Network for Earth System Modelling, (ENES) carried out its first “European Earth System and Climate Modelling School” (E2SCMS). This was made possible by the Infrastructure Project for ENES (IS-ENES), which is funded by the EC. The school took place on the Greek island of Kos from June 1 to 11 2012. The school educated 32 young researchers from all over Europe in Earth system modelling by providing a series of lectures on the Earth system and models for it, and, concurrently, giving them introductions and hands-on experiences in running up-to-date ESMs. A totally new property of the school was the fact that two comprehensive Coupled Earth System Models - the UK NCAS model and the MPI-ESM - were used for the school. The school was viewed to be very successful by most participants.

D2.4 Foresight position paper on the “ENES strategy and its implementation plan”

Following the scoping workshop during the first period of IS-ENES, a first version of the foresight has been produced by the writing team and discussed extensively by the community at the foresight workshop in Hamburg, in February 2011. These discussions have led to key conclusions and recommendations regarding: the need to access world-class computers, the need to further integrate the ENES community and prepare the next generation of climate models for future massively parallel computers, the need to further develop the data infrastructure and its access for a large range of users. A complete version has been edited and circulated among the various contributors. This deliverable D2.4 is the final version of the ENES strategy and its implementation plan.

D2.5 Science Policy delivery of “The ENES Strategy and its implementation Plan”

This second policy position paper on “The ENES Strategy and its Implementation Plan” summarizes how the “Infrastructure Strategy for the European Earth System Modelling Community 2012-2022” that was released in April 2012 was presented to European research policy makers and which initial steps were taken to start the implementation of the strategy during the last year of the IS-ENES project, providing the basis for further implementation steps to be taken during the implementation of the follow-up project IS-ENES2. In May 2012, the ENES Infrastructure strategy (deliverable D2.4) was presented at the Governing Board of JPI Climate gathering representatives of 12 European member states partners - at the ministry, research council or research institution levels - as well as observers such as the European Commission and the European Environment Agency. This was an opportunity to deliver main recommendations on issues on high-performance computing facilities, on models and model data, on human resources and the willingness to strengthen the European networking of the community through ENES.

D2.6 Final plan for the use and dissemination of foreground

D2.6 gathers information on dissemination activities (publications, talks, posters …) and on the foreground produced within IS-ENES (software and web portals).


© Copyright ENES Portal 2011

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IS-ENES3 has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 824084